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德媒:美联储可能最早在2019年春季暂停加息

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年08月18日 23:59:16
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(原)(标)(题)(:德)(媒)(:美)(联)(储)(可)(能)(最)(早)(在)(2019年)(春)(季)(暂)(停)(加)(息)(
德)(交)(所)(旗)(下)(国)(际)(市)(场)(新)(闻)(社)((MNI)报)(道)(称)(美)(联)(储)(可)(能)(最)(早)(在)(春)(季)(暂)(停)(加)(息)(周)(期)(。受)(此)(消)(息)(影)(响)(,美)(元)(走)(弱)(,推)(动)(欧)(元)(/美)(元)(升)(至)(盘)(中)(高)(位)(。美)(债)(期)(货)(上)(涨)(,曲)(线)(变)(陡)(。
知)(情)(人)(士)(说)(,有)(多)(项)(因)(素)(促)(成)(了)(美)(联)(储)(的)(相)(关)(讨)(论)(,包)(括)(通)(胀)(率)(料)(在)(2%左)(右)(触)(顶)(回)(落)(,决)(策)(者)(认)(为)(几)(乎)(没)(必)(要)(实)(施)(具)(有)(限)(制)(性)(的)(政)(策)(,并)(试)(图)(使)(官)(方)(利)(率)(达)(到)(中)(性)(水)(平)(。
国)(际)(市)(场)(新)(闻)(社)((MNI)周)(三)(援)(引)(匿)(名)(美)(联)(储)(资)(深)(人)(士)(的)(话)(报)(道)(称)(,美)(联)(储)(开)(始)(考)(虑)(至)(少)(暂)(停)(对)(货)(币)(政)(策)(的)(逐)(步)(紧)(缩)(,并)(可)(能)(最)(早)(在)(明)(年)(春)(季)(停)(止)(加)(息)(周)(期)(。
报)(道)(称)(,美)(联)(储)(12月)(加)(息)(几)(乎)(已)(是)(毫)(无)(悬)(念)(,不)(过)(有)(关)(暂)(停)(紧)(缩)(的)(讨)(论)(将)(从)(明)(年)(3月)(份)(会)(议)(开)(始)(变)(得)(活)(跃)(起)(来)(,到)(明)(年)(6月)(肯)(定)(会)(更)(活)(跃)(。
上)(周)(,在)(参)(加)(达)(拉)(斯)(联)(储)(组)(织)(的)(活)(动)(,美)(联)(储)(主)(席)(鲍)(威)(尔)(对)(未)(来)(美)(国)(经)(济)(与)(加)(息)(路)(径)(展)(望)(释)(放)(出)(微)(妙)(信)(息)(。
鲍)(威)(尔)(暗)(示)(出)(了)(2019年)(暂)(停)(加)(息)(的)(条)(件)(,即)(美)(国)(经)(济)(将)(面)(临)(三)(大)(阻)(力)(:全)(球)(需)(求)(放)(缓)(、财)(政)(刺)(激)(消)(退)(,以)(及)(加)(息)(对)(经)(济)(的)(滞)(后)(影)(响)(。
鲍)(威)(尔)(表)(示)(,美)(国)(楼)(市)(增)(速)(放)(缓)(,以)(减)(税)(和)(增)(加)(财)(政)(支)(出)(为)(主)(要)(形)(式)(的)(财)(政)(刺)(激)(可)(能)(从)(明)(年)(起)(逐)(步)(消)(退)(。美)(联)(储)(的)(目)(标)(是)(保)(持)(经)(济)(增)(长)(,同)(时)(保)(证)(通)(胀)(受)(控)(和)(确)(保)(金)(融)(稳)(定)(。
多)(名)(美)(联)(储)(高)(管)(最)(近)(在)(公)(开)(讲)(话)(时)(释)(放)(出)(类)(似)(信)(息)(:美)(联)(储)(“二)(把)(手)(”、副)(主)(席)(RichardClarida称)(,近)(三)(年)(的)(加)(息)(已)(令)(美)(联)(储)(的)(短)(期)(利)(率)(接)(近)(中)(性)(水)(平)(,这)(将)(成)(为)(未)(来)(考)(虑)(货)(币)(政)(策)(的)(一)(个)(关)(键)(因)(素)(,未)(来)(加)(息)(将)(取)(决)(于)(经)(济)(数)(据)(;明)(年)(FOMC票)(委)(、芝)(加)(哥)(联)(储)(主)(席)(CharlesEvans也)(强)(调)(:“我)(们)(现)(在)(处)(于)(需)(要)(特)(别)(依)(赖)(数)(据)(的)(时)(刻)(。”
摩)(根)(士)(丹)(利)(首)(席)(经)(济)(学)(家)(ChetanAhya指)(出)(,美)(联)(储)(的)(口)(风)(上)(出)(现)(微)(妙)(变)(化)(,更)(加)(强)(调)(要)(看)(数)(据)(,同)(时)(透)(露)(出)(在)(实)(现)(中)(性)(利)(率)(之)(后)(政)(策)(决)(定)(上)(会)(有)(一)(定)(灵)(活)(性)(。
不)(过)(值)(得)(注)(意)(的)(是)(,尽)(管)(传)(递)(出)(的)(信)(号)(在)(变)(化)(,但)(这)(并)(不)(意)(味)(着)(市)(场)(就)(可)(以)(开)(始)(期)(待)(美)(联)(储)(改)(弦)(易)(辙)(。Ahya指)(出)(,在)(全)(球)(经)(济)(持)(续)(增)(长)(的)(背)(景)(下)(,正)(如)(摩)(根)(士)(丹)(利)(首)(席)(美)(国)(经)(济)(学)(家)(EllenZentner预)(计)(,美)(联)(储)(会)(保)(持)(目)(前)(的)(加)(息)(路)(径)(,直)(到)(利)(率)(升)(至)(它)(所)(认)(为)(的)(中)(性)(区)(间)(,随)(后)(才)(有)(可)(能)(暂)(停)(加)(息)(,而)(这)(要)(在)(今)(年)(12月)(以)(及)(明)(年)(3月)(和)(6月)(这)(三)(次)(加)(息)(之)(后)(才)(会)(发)(生)(。
来)(源)(:金)(融)(界)(网)(站)(返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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